Weekly IntelligenceArchiveA scoring week: three of our five published checks resolved — the $0.10 attempt downgraded on six closes below $0.095, usage reclassified as squeeze churn at a series-low 17,860/day, and the security-budget check triggered at fourteen times its threshold (difficulty −28% against a −1% price week). The ETF question stayed open, the whale question stayed unverified, and a sixth question we never asked — what breaks when hash leaves — became the week's real story.
Oct 04, 2026
Weekly IntelligenceArchiveFive questions for a breakout week: did the $0.10 close hold (no — one close, then a fade), is the ETF channel now a real demand line (a record $2.89M week says the channel changed), did usage turn or just stop falling (turned: +1.9%, the first rise in five weeks), is $0.10 support or resistance (resistance until proven otherwise), and what are the whales actually doing (buying 1.14B DOGE and sending 250M to Binance in the same window). We also score last week's five verdicts against our published checks.
Sep 27, 2026
Weekly IntelligenceArchiveFive questions for a week that finally got its milestone: did DOGE-1 move anything measurable (no), did the Fed's first hike since 2023 break the tape (no — it rallied two days later), did the CLARITY Act failure matter (one session), did the ETF channel change (one $285K day, still 0.09% of market cap), and did usage decouple from price again (yes — a fourth straight weekly decline). We also score last week's five verdicts against our own published checks.
Sep 20, 2026
Weekly IntelligenceArchiveFive questions for a digestion week: was the pullback technical or structural, does the ETF channel matter after Bitwise's exit, what DOGE-1 does and does not change, how big the real usage base is (25,503 transactions a day), and whether fees can ever fund security (spoiler: ~$70 a day against $1.12M of issuance). Dated verdicts, no vibes.
Sep 13, 2026
Weekly IntelligenceArchiveFive questions for a recovery week: did the floor retest prove the August base (yes, and the buyers were on-chain), what the −$763K fund outflow means against 400M DOGE of whale buying (a divergence with a verdict), whether the channel breakout is confirmed (partly — RSI 76), what flat usage during a +10.8% rally tells us (the first break in the lockstep), and what the calendar does next (a launch and a Fed, five and ten days out). Dated verdicts, no vibes.
Sep 06, 2026
Weekly IntelligenceArchiveFive questions for a give-back week: was the −12.1% an unwind or a breakdown (unwind, on halved volume), what the second ETF inflow day is actually worth (a tenth of a day's mint), whether International Dog Day moved anything (the feed screamed, the tape shrugged), who is really buying the dip (1.7B claimed, unverified), and whether the chain noticed any of it (1,366 blocks a day; it never does). Dated verdicts, no vibes.
Aug 30, 2026
Weekly IntelligenceArchiveFive questions for a squeeze week: what actually drove +34.2% (a macro impulse, whales, and liquidations — in that order), whether the $0.10 pierce was a breakout (it was a wick), whether usage confirmed the rally (for once, partly yes), whether the record ETF day matters (arithmetic says no), and whether the whale numbers can be trusted (direction yes, magnitudes soft). Dated verdicts, no vibes.
Aug 23, 2026